How we calculate it

Here is the price.
Here is every assumption.

LIVE DATA CONTRACTDecode → match → adjust → discloseNO EMBEDDED LISTINGS
IDENTIFYVIN

Official NHTSA vPIC decode at request time.

LISTING FACTSUSER ENTERED

Asking price, kilometres, and condition stay user-entered until a licensed feed is connected.

CANADIAN ANCHORMARKET

The current province × make × model × year reference includes sample size and percentiles.

RELATIVE ADJUSTMENTML

The model learns condition and odometer effects from 91,278 completed auction outcomes.

WORKED EXAMPLE · 2021 Toyota RAV4 · ON
Canadian anchor$30,248
Condition & odometer+$752
ML market value$31,000
$26,500PREDICTED LOW
$31,000ESTIMATE$31,995ASKING
$40,800PREDICTED HIGH
CONNECTED NOWVIN decoding

NHTSA vPIC is queried only when Decode VIN is pressed.

REQUIRED FOR LIVE PRICEListing provider

Current ask and odometer remain user-entered until a licensed Canadian connector is live.

MODEL GUARDRAILTransparent limits

The app never treats a seller snapshot as live. Missing or stale inputs stay visible.

WHAT THE MODEL CONTROLS

Anchor + relative effect.

The live VIN decode identifies the year, make, model, and available specifications. Completed auction outcomes supply the relative condition and odometer adjustment applied to the selected Canadian market cell.

WHAT THE RANGE MEANS

How the range is built.

The range combines the matched-market spread in the Canadian anchor with the condition model’s temporal-test residuals. Both are measured from data. Neither is a guarantee that the final sale price falls inside the range.

WHAT STILL NEEDS A HUMAN

Inspection + negotiation.

User-entered condition is not a verified inspection. Options, hidden damage, taxes, fees and negotiation can materially change the completed price.